Grateful Dead

Blair’s Golden Road Blog - What If…?

What if on August 10, 1995, you opened up your morning newspaper and read the following: “Grateful Dead guitarist Jerry Garcia was rushed to a Marin County, California, hospital late last night and underwent successful quadruple bypass surgery. Garcia, 53, was said to be resting comfortably and joking with doctors and nurses. He is expected to make a full recovery and should be able to tour again with the Grateful Dead “somewhere between six months and a year from now,” a hospital spokesperson said, “depending on how seriously he takes this episode.”

It was the “IWAAJ” — “It was all about Jerry” — debate in this space a couple of weeks ago that got my mind wandering (again) to that great hypothetical: What if Jerry hadn’t died 16 years ago, and he had instead embraced the healthy lifestyle choices that would have perhaps allowed him to live this long? Would the Grateful Dead still be going strong? How would that turn of events have affected the course of our own lives? I know it’s difficult and probably fruitless to speculate, but let’s have a little fun with this.

So many Dead Heads jumped ship from the end of ’93 through ’95 because of what they saw as a steady and alarming decline in Garcia’s playing and overall demeanor. Would they have come back to the fold if he rose, Phoenix-like, in the spring of 1996—slimmer, healthier (off drugs, diabetes in check), cheerier and also fully rehabbed for the debilitating carpal tunnel malaise that so affected his manual dexterity? Absolutely! It would be like the spring of ’87 (post-diabetic coma) all over again.

“It is getting clearer now…
I see Jerry singing ‘My Way,’
then going into ‘Idiot Wind’
with a 12-piece tuba section backing him."

During his convalescence, no doubt the New Jerry would have gotten together with Robert Hunter to write some fresh tunes, and though going on the road was verboten for a while, perhaps the band could have cut a new album using the best from those writing sessions along with the strongest of the still-unrecorded songs the band already had, including “So Many Roads,” “Corrina,” “Days Between,” “Lazy River Road,” “Eternity” and “Liberty.” A shortened version of “Liberty” becomes a surprise radio favorite, and everywhere the revivified band goes on their spring and summer tours in 1996, they are hailed as great survivors! They close the summer with a free concert at the Polo Fields in San Francisco’s Golden Gate Park, broadcast live over HBO. In a nod to the band’s return from their mid-’70s hiatus, the fall tour consists of 45 shows in small theaters, five each in nine cities, spread over October and November. An all-star New Year’s Eve concert—this one a low-priced pay-per-view event at the Fillmore in SF featuring a slew of the Dead’s musical friends, including Bob Dylan, Carlos Santana, Bonnie Raitt, Pete Townshend, Bruce Hornsby, Paul Barrere and Bill Payne from Little Feat and many others, is favorably compared to The Last Waltz. Martin Scorsese even directs the telecast.

OK, that fantasy is already out of control and we’re only a year into it! What really might have happened? Would the crowd problems that dogged the Dead’s last tours continue unabated? Probably. If ’87 is any indication, a renewed Grateful Dead would be an even greater draw than it was when they were at that creative low ebb in 1995. To keep the already large Grateful Dead organization humming along, the band would still have to play big arenas and “sheds” mostly; one hopes they would once and for all leave the stadiums behind. But would they have the sense and the willpower to do that? Maybe. Those of us who enjoyed traveling to shows always wished the band would go to Asia and Australia someday, just for kicks, but would the money-conscious brass allow that to happen?

Would the band ever get around to playing all those great nuggets that the post-Jerry bands have thrived on the past decade-plus, from “St. Stephen” and “The Eleven” to weirder stuff like “Born Cross-Eyed” and “What’s Become of the Baby”? Wow, that’s a tough one to answer. Jerry had a very unusual relationship with the Dead’s back catalog. He once told me definitively that he would never play “The Golden Road (To Unlimited Devotion)” again. That’s a shame. I dig it every time I hear it these days. I never understood his aversion to “St. Stephen” and “Dark Star”—especially the latter, as it was so mutable and timeless. It’s hard to imagine him singing “What’s Become of the Baby” or “Rosemary.” I think he viewed those as album curiosities from a past best forgotten. Might the band have played any of their classic albums in their entirety as so many bands do today—say a mini-tour performing Blues for Allah for that album’s 30th anniversary in 2005, or Workingman’s Dead and American Beauty for their 40th anniversary in 2010? I can’t see it, frankly, but you never know.

Any chance the band would have at least started mixing up their sets more, escaping the bland predictability that set in around, oh, 1990? As controllers of the repertoire, Garcia and Weir both seemed locked into their musical habits, and though occasionally in interviews they paid lip service to the notion of shaking things up, it never happened while Jerry was still with us. It was Phil, a few years after Garcia’s passing, who first mustered the courage to step outside the box and look at the placement of songs and structure of shows differently. Bob soon followed in RatDog, and though Furthur went back to the “first-set song/second-set song” formulation a bit on their most recent tour, they are still much more adventurous in the way they present songs and where in the show they occur than the latter-day Grateful Dead. Would Phil have stepped up at some point and suggested some radical reinvention of the Dead’s “show”? I doubt it, but I’d like to think so.

Because they were always more of a live attraction than a top recording band, the Dead might have been immune to some of the economic woes that befell so many groups in the digital file-sharing age. One would hope that they would not have increased ticket prices to the level of so many major attractions in the late ’90s and the 2000s. They always had a populist streak in them, so I think that’s a safe bet. To generate more income, though, they might have picked up the pace in archival releases somewhat. There was a time when Dick’s Picks and various multitrack vault releases were big sellers for the band, but that diminished over the years after Garcia’s death, aided by the flood of soundboard tapes that found their way onto following Dick Latvala’s demise and were downloaded thousands of times for free (before the surviving band members put a stop to it).

I’d like to think we might still have been treated to epic box sets like the various Complete Recordings collections (Fillmore West ’69, Winterland ’73 and ’77, Europe ’72, Hampton ’89), but there probably wouldn’t have been anywhere near the volume of releases that have come out. On the Garcia side, there’s nothing to suggest that he was at all interested in putting out archival CDs of his various bands, and chances are the wonderful All Good Things box set, with its abundance of unreleased studio material, would not have seen the light of day. It’s hard to picture Jerry putting in the time and effort to look at his past studio efforts in a new light. He was always more interested in moving forward.

On a personal level, I would never have had the opportunity to write my biography of Jerry, Garcia: An American Life, while he was alive — my sources would have respected his privacy too much to talk to a journalist. I probably would not have been invited to work on archival releases or write liner notes. The Dead’s famed tape vault would have stayed in their hands, so there would be no release deal with Rhino and no Rhino/Grateful Dead website for me to write for. I’m sure I’d still be going dutifully to every local concert and no doubt buying CDs or downloads of every one they played. Can you imagine the crush of people trying to pick up CDs of a show they’d just attended? It would take hours to get out of there! And you can be sure that YouTube would be positively littered with videos of every song the Dead played at each show. Poor Jerry, having to look out on a sea of inattentive camera-phone videographers. “Remember when people listened?” he’d grumble one night to no one in particular backstage.

The mind races with thoughts about what might have become of the JGB if Jerry had lived and John Kahn had died when he did? Would he form some completely different kind of group? What of Jerry’s troubled personal life? Would Sirens of Titan ever get made? (The New York Times: “Garcia’s directorial effort is a delectable but uncompromisingly weird confection…” ) Would Jerry host Saturday Night Live? Record a “duets” album? Support a presidential candidate?

We’ll never know. But what do YOU think? What if Jerry had lived?


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Joined: Dec 8 2008
all a dream one afternoon

You want to know what it would have been like had Jerry gotten healthy after a "health scare" in 1995. You don't have to look very far. 1986 and 1992.

Maybe, the third time around could have been a charm.

If measures didn't change from the band on down to deadheads.......We would be right where we are, today.

wheels69's picture
Joined: Oct 12 2007
What if Jerry crossed over

What if Jerry crossed over to country and had his first #1 hit.

Joined: Jun 6 2007
Not a fan of the Midnites, no...

Too slick, songs weren't good. Excellent players, though! Went to a couple of gigs, I'm not sure I ever made it all the way through one... There was a pretty good live video of them I have buried in my VHS stacks somewhere....

I'm also not a fan of Run for the Roses particularly. Cats I dig.

Joined: Jun 4 2007
Bobby & the Midnites reunion?

Gauging from your response, I'm guessing you're not a big B&TM fan blairj.

I think their first album is pretty cool. Call me a byproduct of the '80's, but I liken it to a "highly polished" gem.

I also think it would have been awesome if Jerry could have released more solo studio albums like Cats Under The Stars and Run For The Roses.

Joined: Jun 10 2007

If Jer were still with us, everything would be different now, from top to bottom, for me.
I like the way you dream Blair.

JackstrawfromColorado's picture
Joined: Jan 2 2009
If and ONLY if

He "embraced the healthy lifestyle choices that would have perhaps allowed him to live this long" I am no health nut or anything but I can't see how one could live long the way that man lived. I can't blame him or any rock star. I always knew if I had the talent to play in a hugely successful rock band I'd be dead by now. Waaaay too many temptations, luxuries, and get whatever you want whenever you want with little repracussion. For some, it would be very hard to avoid...

"I won't take your life won't even take a limb just unload my shotgun and take a little skin"

unkle sam's picture
Joined: Oct 3 2008
Jer lived to play

Great topic Blair, I have wondered many times where we would all be if Jerry had survived. I would still be going to shows, still searching for the sound. I would like to think that Jerry lived to play, he had to play, could he have taken a year off? It would or could have turned into longer, with Phil's health deteriorating also, there would have had to have been a break for Phil to also get healthy. I don't think Jerry could have stopped even if he wanted to, it was what he lived for. But if he could have, I would like to think that all the bad press and bad vibes and bad people would have gotten behind them, especially if they had gone with the "Terrapin Station" concept that would have had them in a specially built concert hall where they could film, videocast, whatever, from. The constant touring and "tour lifestyle" would be gone, the crowds would dwindle, if the circus didn't come to town, there would be no crowd. Sure the show feel would be gone unless you lived close to the station or planned a vacation around a show, but Jerry and the band would still be cranking out sounds, which is what we all live for, and you would be able to download video, audio all the sights and sounds of a show without all the hassle. I would like to imagine that, if Jerry had woke up, his first words would have been, "Man, I'm tired, I think I'll slow down now"

Joined: Jun 6 2007
Bobby & the Midnites reunion?

Really, spacebro? Really?

Joined: Jun 4 2007
Technology - Reunions

I bet they would have immediately embraced the tour Instant Live/Download idea. When I first saw that at Allman Brothers concerts around 2004, it was the coolest thing to get an official high quality recording of the show within minutes after the encore, then listen to it on the ride home.

It would have been awseome if there would have been an "Old and in the Way" and "Bobby and the Midnights" reunion with all of the original members.

Joined: Jun 12 2007
Good Blog this week

I've wondered this same thing a million times. My first show was in '89 due to my DOB, but I continued to see them about 50 times, all the way through the bitter end. The scene was a complete mess, the biggest problem being nitrous (sic). I always thought a revival was JUST around the corner though, there was an album in there between the songs you mentioned, Liberty, SMRs, Corinna. The band variations that followed (Further, etc) just don't cut it for me. I don't even see them when they are local, then again, I've got a job, two kids, and a mortage, so makes me wonder if I'd even see the GD if Jerry was still around. Wait, did I just say that? Of course I would.

The other cool thing to think about is what if you could download a show the next day, like Phish and other jam bands are doing, that would be SUPER cool. Thanks Blair.



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